as great as we are, we tipsters gotta eat too

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

NAPOLI vs PALERMO (SERIE A)

Napoli have had a bright start to this season, maintaining their unbeaten streak of 6 games with a draw away at Udinese last weekend. Palermo have a shitty away record, whereas Napoli have won all home games this season. Go figure. Palermo also lost star striker Amauri to Juve this season (he bagged 23 goals in 52 games for them), so no prizes for guessing who I'm going for this week.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Napoli -0.5 @ 2.04 = $10.20

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION vs MANCHESTER CITY (CARLING CUP)

the following tips will be quite short, cos in a rush. take man city on the handicap, cos i really think they're still on a high, and even their reserves should be able to knock a few past brighton.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on man city -1 @ 1.88 = $9.40

Brighton have lost 2 and drawn 2 in their last 4 games. City have enjoyed a revival since SWP and Robinho joined the club, and just trashed Portsmouth 6-0. The Brazillian trio of Robinho, Elano and Jo might not necessarily start, meaning that promising players like Ched Evans might get a run out. The new City owners want to start a new 10-year "dynasty". Well, what better way to start a dynasty than to win a cup? City will win this, and I think they'll win big with Stephen Ireland putting in another MOM performance. After all, they did put 6 past a previously miserly Portsmouth defence.

Roland's prediction: $5 on City -1 @ 1.880 = $9.40

ASTON VILLA vs QPR (CARLING CUP)

The best part about Aston Villa having a small squad? They can't rotate like Rafa does. Meaning that there won't be any very surprising lineups. Perhaps the only change will be Isaiah Osbourne featuring, or Zat Knight in defence. Well, they will still possess quality. QPR are contenders for promotion but I think that Aston Villa have too much quality for them. Their lack of squad size means that regulars like Young and Carew will play, as they did not play the previous midweek match against Litex Lovech.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Aston Villa @ 1.44 = $7.20

Tuesday, September 23, 2008

ENERGIE COTTBUS vs BORUSSIA MONCHENGLADBACH

borussia monchengladbach and cottbus are both on bad runs of form. however, marko marin is a genius, and he'll pull gladbach to a win here. there you have it, short and sweet. just like marko marin.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on gladbach level @ 2.040 = $10.20

and let's not forget, multiplier of the day:

1) gladbach level
2) everton +0/0.5
3) milan win
4) atletico madrid -0/0.5
5) wigan -0/0.5
6) man city -1
7) fiorentina +0/0.5
8) cardiff +0/0.5
9) fulham -0/0.5

$1 pays $315

SWANSEA CITY vs CARDIFF CITY (CARLING CUP)

cardiff city have been quite decent in the championship, unbeaten so far, with 2 wins, and 5 draws. they have a decent team, and will be remembered for their fa cup run last season. i think they will dispose of swansea here, and the least they should get is a draw, with swansea perhaps gonna have their attention diverted towards the big game at the weekend. also, swansea were poor in their game against burnley, and were lucky to steal an injury-time equaliser. cardiff have also hinted that eddie johnson might be given a start here, and with his freshness and his blistering pace, i expect him to give the swansea defence a torrid time.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on cardiff +0/0.5 @ 1.800 = $9.00

BURNLEY v FULHAM (CARLING CUP)

fulham look to rotate their squad in this game, but i think they should have too much for burnley. what's more, fulham lost their last game, and i reckon they'll be looking to bounce right back. a draw would mean a half-loss, and that's a good enough risk for me to take here. fulham haven't won away this season, and there will be no better chance.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on fulham -0/0.5 @ 2.050 = $10.25

WATFORD vs WEST HAM (CARLING CUP)

For the first time in probably 2 years, West Ham meet a side that are even more depleted than they are. Mart Poom, Jobi McAnuff, Lloyd Doyley, Tamas Priskin, Grzegorz Rasiak, Mat Sadler are all out for this match. West Ham have a similarly long list with Dean Ashton, Bellamy, Carlton Cole all not involved for this match. However, West Ham have better strength in depth, and Freddie Sears was really impressive last season and should provide an attacking threat. Di Michele was incredibly lucky to score the two goals against Newcastle but he showed that he can be dangerous with the ball at his feet. West Ham will be still on their new-manager high, whereas Watford have had a bad run that looks set to continue.

Roland's prediction: $5 on West Ham -0.5 @ 2.00 = $10.00

For the other matches, I've got a multiplier as they're all low odds and risky on the singles, because the Carling Cup does tend to have its fair share of upsets because small teams sometimes do rise up to the occasion, as well as big teams resting their key players. The big teams do, however, still have quality within their reserves, so it's quite difficult to call sometimes.

1) Arsenal @ 1.30
2) Sunderland @ 1.30
3) Liverpool @ 1.12
4) Man Utd @ 1.55
5) Aston Villa @ 1.44

$5 on above multiplier pays $21.28


LEEDS vs HARTLEPOOL (CARLING CUP)

Leeds come into this game on the back of 3 impressive wins, beating Crewe 5-2, Swindon away 3-1 and Carlsile away 2-0. They are good in attack with the very pacy Jermaine Beckford, who has 6 goals to his name in 7 matches. Hartlepool, however, are no pushovers, beating West Brom in the previous round 3-1 with 2 extra time goals, and holding current league one leaders to a 3-3 draw over the weekend. However, I feel that Leeds have had the better form of late, and with it being at Elland road, they should be able to triumph. After all, Leeds don't belong to League One, as they would have automatically qualified for Championship football if not for the 15 point deduction imposed on them, and thus Leeds should have too much quality for Hartlepool.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Leeds -0.5/1 @ 1.79 = $8.95

Monday, September 22, 2008

JEF UTD CHIBA vs NAGOYA GRAMPUS EIGHT (J-LEAGUE)

both jef utd and nagoya go into this game on the back of two morale-boosting victories. jef utd need the victories to escape the relegation battle, while nagoya grampus eight are hitting form at the right moment, and look like good bets for the title. and if you're gonna win the title, you're gonna have to beat jef utd chiba. i cant see jef utd dealing adequately with the threat of frode johnsen in the air, and keiji tamada on the deck. magnum is also proving to be quite good in attacking midfield, and i don't quite mean the chocolate-coated icecream with my girlfriend starring in the ad. it's gonna be tough for jef utd, and i see a nagoya win here.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on nagoya -0.5 @ 2.05 = $10.25

for a little added kick to your bet, i'm throwing in a fun $1 multiplier to consider.
1) nagoya -0.5 (2.05)
2) guillermo garcia lopez v tommy robredo (robredo @ 1.28)
3) sam querrey vs jesse levine (querrey @ 1.30)
4) fernando verdasco vs bobby reynolds (verdasco @ 1.28)
5) juan carlos ferrero vs alexandre kudryatsev (ferrero @ 1.28)
6) yokohama f marinos v kawasaki frontale (ksaki -0/0.5 @ 1.975)


$1 on above multiplier pays $11.18

Spring Cleaning

Hey guys, some spring cleaning. As Eddy and I have discussed, the tables to the side are awfully inaccurate as we refer to SingaporePools odds, but bet with other bookmakers. SingaporePools also does not offer the handicap, which we use often as it is generally safer most of the time, and nets a better profit in the long run (in our opinions). Hence, we're going to transfer all the current stats into 1 post, and then wipe all of the other stats clean. From this point onwards, we will be referring to betinternet.com's (great ad for them eh?) odds and start including the asian handicap in our tips.

Total

Tipster Bets Placed Bets Won Win % Money Placed Money Won Profits
Eddy 285 155 54.4 $1650 $1860.55 $210.55
Roland 157 77 49.0 $990 $1053.20 $63.20


EPL 08/09
Tipster Bets Placed Bets Won Win % Money Placed Money Won Profits
Eddy 21 11 52.4 $105 $106.55 $1.55
Roland 23 11 50 $115 $111.75 $-3.75


S-League/Singapore Cup
Tipster Bets Placed Bets Won Win % Money Placed Money Won Profits
Eddy 100 53 53 $595 $679.55 $84.55
Roland 0 0 0 0 0 0


UEFA Champions League / UEFA Cup
Tipster Bets Placed Bets Won Win % Money Placed Money Won Profits
Eddy 6 3 50 $35 $29.5 $-5.50
Roland 10 6 60 $60 $58.45 -$1.55


World Cup Qualifiers/Friendlies
Tipster Bets Placed Bets Won Win % Money Placed Money Won Profits
Eddy 4 3 75 $20 $35.85 $15.85
Roland 6 2 33.3 $35 $24.85 $-10.15

Sunday, September 21, 2008

NUMANCIA vs VILLARREAL (LA LIGA)

<2.98> <3.15> <2.10>

villarreal have been given a boost by the return to fitness of talented turk nihat kahveci, who travelled with the squad and should be starting against numancia, who have already beaten barcelona and almost held real madrid, losing 4-3. numancia's confidence will be high, but i'm sure villarreal's will be even higher, having held manu at old trafford, and securing a vital 1-0 win last week against deportivo. influential midfielder marcos senna was rested in midweek, and his return, coupled with that of nihat's, should combine well with the dazzling form of santi cazorla to give villarreal a win.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on villarreal @ 2.10 = $10.50

CHELSEA vs MANCHESTER UTD (EPL)

<2.05> <3.02> <3.22>

the big one. the one we've all been waiting for after liverpool-man u ended last week. everything points to a chelsea win in this one. cuntbag john terry had his red card rescinded SOMEHOW, while nemanja vidic, who is such an integral part of the united defence, is suspended for tonight's match. 1 point for chelsea. chelsea have not lost at stamford bridge since the PAP took over Singapore. 2 points for chelsea. chelsea have made a flying start in the league, while united have been made to look rather ordinary. 3 points for chelsea. so, for united to win here would be kinda impossible, it seems. but THAT is exactly what i'm gonna tip. i'd prefer to take manu on +0/0.5 on the asian handicap, because i really do not see united losing this one, but given singapore pools' insistence on 1x2, i am going for a united win here. manu are not a team that go 4 matches without a win, and they have lost at zenit, liverpool and drawn in midweek at home against the yellow submarines of villarreal. this situation somewhat reminds me of arsenal a few seasons back making a wretched start, drawing at villa, losing at man city, but travelling to old trafford to face an in-form united team, they managed to grab all 3 points with adebayor's late late goal. odds of 3.22 don't come often, so you could try backing manu to be the team that breaks chelsea's long-standing undefeated home record.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on manchester utd @ 3.22 = $16.10

I have money on United with the handicap. On the blog I'm going for a win. United will bounce back after 2 sorry performances, and Anderson will eat up Deco.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Manchester United @ 3.22 = $16.10

Friday, September 19, 2008

HULL CITY vs EVERTON (EPL)

<3.20> <3.15> <2.00>

Everton ruined my multiplier, so they'll make up for it by winning me some well deserved cash. Fellaini will return for Everton and bring some sorely missed energy into the Everton midfield. Everton have no problems going forward and getting goals. Their key problem is at the back, and Fellaini's energy and shielding the defence should help out a lot. Hull haven't been very impressive in attack and I think Everton will register a win.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Everton @ 2.00 = $10.00

everton are leagues ahead of hull in terms of quality, but what might be a factor in this one, are the tired legs that everton might suffer, considering their midweek battle with standard liege. what's comforting is the fact that hull already won last weekend, and relegation-threatened teams just DO NOT win two in a row, unless it's the tail-end of the season. everton on the asian handicap of -0/0.5 looks a handy bet, and bearing in mind that wigan demolished hull 5-0 at this very same stadium, everton at 2.00 for a win is actually quite a fair bet. hopefully, as i said, the tiredness doesn't affect them too much.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on everton @ 2.00 = $10.00

WEST BROMWICH vs ASTON VILLA (EPL)

<2.90> <3.15> <2.15>

I usually support teams that love to move the ball around and play fluid, attacking football. That will be, however, West Brom's demise. Villa might be slightly fatigued after their UEFA cup game against Litex Lovech, but I fancy their quick attacks to exploit the gaps left by West Brom when they move forward. Ashley Young and Carew are doubtful, but they are likely to be replaced by Milner and Harewood, who aren't too bad themselves. Agbonlahor's pace upfront will be immense in Villa's counter attacks, and I don't think Villa will have too much trouble seeing off West Brom.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Aston Villa @ 2.15 = $10.75

aston villa are a good team, no doubt, but seriously, they are no supermen, and they will be physically tired after two tough away trips to spurs and litex. west brom's brand of passing football, while foolhardy, will be ideal in this instance, as they will force the villans to keep chasing. the villans also break down their opponents with searing pace from the likes of young and agbonlahor, but they too will not be at their best physical state. however, i can't see west brom winning this one, as they have already won last weekend, and promoted teams just don't win that many games. a draw then. worth a shot.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on draw @ 3.15 = $15.75

BLACKBURN vs FULHAM (EPL)

<1.95> <3.20> <3.30>

The last 3 meetings between these sides have been draws, so there will be a clear victor this time. I'm going with Fulham because Dunn is out for Blackburn, which will leave lots of space for Bullard and Gera to run the show. Andy Johnson and Zamora look to have a great partnership going, and Johnson's sheer pace might pose Ryan Nelsen some trouble. I think that Blackburn seriously lack creativity and this might be a low scoring one, so go for total goals under 2.5, as well as a Fulham win. Well, if you lack balls, Fulham on the handicap is decently priced too.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Fulham @ 3.30 = $16.50

sometimes, i feel, roland is a kind man. "i think that blackburn seriously lack creativity". well i'm not so kind. blackburn are shitkickers with ZERO creativity. morten gamst pedersen used to be a creative spark, but that was two seasons ago. last season, they relied on david "i was brought up at arsenal but i'm still a cunt" bentley to provide quality service, and he did so very well. now he's gone and joined up with the people at shite hart lane, blackburn have become relegation fodder, and they will struggle among the lower reaches of the table. also, paul robinson as a replacement for brad friedel is hardly gonna inspire confidence in your defenders. david dunn has also been ruled out, leaving them with even less of an attacking threat. fulham's away form has been rather woeful, but if they're gonna win a game away, it has to be this one.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on fulham @ 3.30 = $16.50

UDINESE vs NAPOLI (SERIE A)

<2.05> <3.00> <3.25>

This will be a key theme in the upcoming weeks - bet on the team at home against Napoli. Why? Their away form is shite. Also, their fans have been banned from all away matches until the end of the season. Both teams registered wins a couple of days back in the UEFA cup and should be coming into this match with confidence, but I'm backing the home team because of home ground advantage (and in the Serie A, it counts for A LOT), and the fact that Napoli have no supporting fans. Gokhan Inler, Quagliarella and Di Natale will give lots of firepower to the Udinese team.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Udinese @ 2.05 = $10.25

WEST HAM vs NEWCASTLE (EPL)

<1.95> <3.20> <3.30>

Well, this is the battle between the two clubs who had the first managerial casualties. West Ham have lost Ashton to an injury.. in TRAINING. He needs a new physio. Carlton Cole and Di Michele up front could pose the Newcastle defence some trouble, but I think the key area of weakness for Newcastle is N'Zogbia at left back. He loves to go forward and it will leave a lot of space in behind for Behrami to exploit (so get Behrami in fantasy football, that's my tip too). West Ham will have the new manager syndrome and Newcastle fans will boycott the match anyway, and their bright spark Jonas Gutierrez is out injured, so West Ham win.

Roland's prediction: $5 on West Ham @ 1.95 = $9.75

BOLTON vs ARSENAL (EPL)

<5.60> <3.52> <1.50>

arsenal were superb in their 4-0 demolition of blackburn last weekend, and the odds are reflecting that, offering a measly 1.50 for them to triumph away from home at a ground which is clearly not their favourite. last season's 3-2 win was one of few they have achieved in the past few seasons at the reebok, especially when big sam, the walrus-lookalike cunt was in charge. however, i feel that arsenal are impossible to go against in this match, considering how good their performances have been. adebayor is one of few players who can score a hattrick and still have had quite an unremarkable/bad game. he was constantly caught offside last weekend, which is rather frustrating. his midweek miss against dynamo kiev will also not have done his confidence any good, but i reckon he'll be back firing this weekend.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on arsenal @ 1.50 = $7.50

LIVERPOOL vs STOKE CITY (EPL)

<1.15> <5.65> <12.00>

liverpool have done very well this season, getting good results against the general opinions of punters, like against united and aston villa. however, liverpool do worst when everyone thinks they'll win, and what could be easier for pool than stoke at home? skrtel and carragher have been doing quite well in central defence, but after a midweek european match, rafa benitez is likely to rest one of them, and bring sami hyypia in. he would also want to count on hyypia's aeria prowess against stoke's long throws, which might seem smart. HOWEVER, rafa would be dumb to try such a move imo, as ricardo fuller is a tricky customer on the deck, and should he be given a one-on-one with hyypia, stoke fans should already start celebrating a goal. also rafa's rotation against supposedly weaker opposition might end up hurting their fluidity and movement. stoke though, are kinda shit, of course, so backing them on a draw or win seems rather foolhardy. instead, take them on the handicap, where only a 3-goal victory for liverpool will make you lose your money.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on stoke city +2.5 @ 1.48 = $7.40

Liverpool won't win by more than 2. Delap has hulk arms and will cause Liverpool tonnes of problems, especially since Reina loves to flap at crosses. I'm going to be putting a small bet on a Stoke win and draw due to the immensely high odds, and there's a fair chance of an upset.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Stoke City +2.5 @ 1.48 = $7.40

BALESTIER KHALSA vs WOODLANDS (S-LEAGUE)

<4.00> <3.20> <1.77>

both teams haven't recorded victory in such a long time, making this a very difficult match to call. however, i think woodlands have a bit more quality in their squad, with the likes of park tae won, azlan alipah, jerry bartholomeusz, and hasrin jailani. balestier khalsa will again look to paul bekombo to score for them, and end a losing run of 684 matches. despite woodlands looking like quite clear victors here, it's hard to back them considering their terrible run. instead i'll go for them to score first, which is a safer option.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on woodlands to score first @ 1.60 = $8.00

Thursday, September 18, 2008

EVERTON vs STANDARD LIEGE (UEFA CUP)

<1.55> <3.50> <5.05>

everton have struggled a little this season, but in their 3-2 away win at shitkickers stoke, they proved that they can deal with the most negative of teams. the signing of segundo castillo adds some much-needed steel to the everton midfield which has been found lacking in bite following the departure of lee carsley. yakubu will also be a real handful for the liege defence, and i fancy everton to record their first home win this season.

Eddy's prediction: $10 on everton @ 1.55 = $15.50

Tim Cahill is back, Everton should be getting back into the groove of things and scoring goals. Remember that Liege have lost their midfielder FOULlaini, who had an excellent game against Liverpool, to Everton (he is cup tied by the way). And as Eddy said, Everton show that they can compete with negative teams, and with Standard Liege away they should face a tough test. Everton will win this one though.

Roland's prediction: $10 on Everton @ 1.55 = $15.50

OMONIA vs MANCHESTER CITY (UEFA CUP)

<5.30> <3.65> <1.50>

City lost their last game, so they will win this one. No seriously. Omonia stink and I don't even know who plays for them. City have Petrov and Johnson out but summer signings Kompany and Zabaleta and Robinho are set to feature. As Eddy's brilliant logic states, City will win this one.

Roland's prediction: $10 on City @ 1.50 = $15.00

well i must admit that sometimes i base my decisions on that above-mentioned logic, and *hint hint* you will see that feature in this weekend's predictions. anyway, i think manchester city have too much quality for omonia, who have little european pedigree, timo wenzel and claudiu niculescu arguably qualifying as european-class players.

Eddy's prediction: $5 on city @ 1.50 = $7.50

NAPOLI vs BENFICA (UEFA CUP)

<1.95> <3.15> <3.35>

Napoli head into this game on the back of a deserving 2-1 win at home against Fiorentina. Their home record is impeccable, having won ALL at home so far (which amounts to 3 games, but I digress), and beating the likes of Inter and Juve at home last season. Napoli have the likes of Marek Hamsik and Ezequiel Lavezzi who are great going forward, the latter impressing in the Beijing Olympics for Argentina. At the back they have Paolo Cannavaro, brother of Fabio. How can they lose? Just kidding. Benfica have only played 3 games so far and will be short on match fitness, so I think that this game might be too soon for them. Napoli win.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Napoli @ 1.95 = $9.75

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

DYNAMO KIEV vs ARSENAL (CHAMPIONS LEAGUE)

<4.60> <3.30> <1.65>

Well, 2 form teams meet. Kiev have won their last 6, while Arsenal have recovered from their away loss to Fulham and have scored 11 and conceded 0 in their last 3 matches. This promises to be a great game, because Arsenal will trounce them and I will win money. Nasri and Silvestre are out for Arsenal but Walcott has hit top form, bagging assists left right centre and getting goals for England too. Van Persie has scored in their last 3 matches, and Adebayor just scored a hat trick for le Arse. They have so much firepower in their ranks and I don't see them not coming out with a result.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Arsenal @ 1.65 = $8.25


i agree with roland on this one. the arsenal should have too much firepower for dinamo kiev to handle. plus we lost the last 3 matches we played in their home stadium and that bad run has to end somewhere?

Eddy's prediction: $5 on arsenal @ 1.65 = $8.25

JUVENTUS vs ZENIT ST PETERSBURG (CHAMPIONS LEAGUE)

<1.62> <3.35> <4.70>

Heavy boat on Juventus, which is why I've left this post for today. Zenit are in good form, winning the last 3 games including the one in the Super Cup against Manchester United. They play very much like the Russian national team and boast some great attacking options in Arshavin, who will want to produce an EPL-moving performance, and Pogrebnyak, who will want to prove that he's better than Pavlyuchenko as he was sidelined during Euro through injuries. Okay, I made those motivations up, but they sound convincing right? Anyway, Juve have drawn 4 and won 2 in their last 6 games, so they aren't really the form team right now. Del Piero is set to return for Juve and Chiellini will come back from injury, so it's going to be tough for Zenit. However, they are Russians, and we've seen them in the Euro and against United in the Super Cup - they can rise up to the occasion. I think this is the best occasion for them to rise up to, being their debut in the Champions League, and if there will ever be a dark horse (fuck off cluj), it will be Zenit St Petesburg. A Zenit handicap will be the way to go as I forsee that Juve, if they do actually win, will win by at most 1 goal, because they are Juve.

Roland's prediction: $5 on Zenit @ 4.70 = $22.80