as great as we are, we tipsters gotta eat too

Friday, May 2, 2008

FULHAM vs BIRMINGHAM (EPL)

<2.10> <3.20> <2.95>

Fulham host Birmingham in what could be a decider in the relegation dogfight. I expect goals aplenty in this one, and if you can, go for the Over 2.5 option. Birmingham have shown the ability to score goals but not keep their lead, so expect Fulham to score a few too. I wouldn't bet on anybody winning or drawing, but a high scoring game is due.

- Roland's prediction: $5 on 3 total goals @ 3.70 = $18.50
$5 on 4 total goals @ 5.90 = $23.60

BLACKBURN vs DERBY (EPL)

<1.20> <5.10> <10.00>

well roland says bet against derby, and i'm going to oppose him again, despite arsenal and aston villa proving me wrong in the past few weeks. in the past few weeks, derby have limited everton, boro, and west ham to 1-goal victories away from home, and i don't see them getting smacked by blackburn, who were damn impressive against pompey, but let's not forget the season has already ended for pompey, as they focus on the fa cup final. so take derby on +1.5, and use the money earned to punt on a derby win. i see derby winning one more game this season. will this be the one? cross your fingers tight.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on derby +1.5 @ 2.10 = $10.50
$5 on derby @ 10.00 = $50.00

Bet against Derby has been the winning formula for this season and I don't think it can go any different this week. Blackburn beat Portsmouth away, albeit being outclassed for most of the match. They will look to secure their 8th position and European qualification as Man City are behind them only on goal difference. David Bentley has been outstanding all season, and Morten Gamst Pedersen looks to have regained his form. They will be too much for Derby, although I don't see the AOS happening for this one.

- Roland's prediction: $10 on blackburn @ 1.20 = $12.00
$10 on blackburn -1.5 @ 1.60 = $16.00

ASTON VILLA vs WIGAN ATHLETIC (EPL)

<1.45> <3.70> <5.90>

Aston Villa host Wigan after their 2-2 draw against Everton. Aston Villa have looked great since their slump in form, and were the better team against Everton. Wigan have nothing much to play for as they have pretty much secured their place in the EPL next season with 2 games to go at 37 points. I expect Aston Villa to win this one, pretty comfortably as they look to catch Everton who play away against Arsenal.

-Roland's prediction: $10 on Aston Villa @ 1.45 = $14.50
$5 on Aston Villa -1.5 @ 2.40 = $12.00

Thursday, May 1, 2008

YOUNG LIONS vs WOODLANDS WELLINGTON (S-LEAGUE)

<2.75> <3.00> <2.32>

i can only see this match going two ways, a draw, or a WWW (woodlands wellington win). the young lions seem to rely way too much on the talents of khairul amri and hariss harun, and they're bound to be humiliated by a more complete team soon. woodlands wellington come into this after an impressive win over albirex niigata, while the young lions struggled to break down 10-man dalian last week. i see woodlands' good form continuing here, with a win over the young lions to lift themselves into the top 4, especially with fadzuhasny juraimi back. if you're feeling adventurous, go for -1.5 @ 4.00, quite juicy.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on woodlands @ 2.35 = $11.75

ZENIT ST PETERSBURG vs BAYERN MUNICH (UEFA CUP)

<3.60> <3.15> <1.87>

i thought bayern would have won the home leg of this match last week, but zenit continued to surprise, coming back with a fortunate 1-1 draw. this time though, zenit miss andrey arshavin, their key playmaker, along with fernando ricksen and radek sirl, all through suspension. luca toni comes back, which is a major plus for bayern, and i just think the weekend win against stuttgrt served two purposes: 1) allows bayern to concentrate on the uefa cup 2) gives them a major morale boost. however, do not go too heavy into this match, because zenit have recently been warned by the russian FA about the condition of the pitch, which is terrible. this would definitely favour the home team a little, as they are familiar with such a situation.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on bayern @ 1.85 = $9.35

FIORENTINA vs GLASGOW RANGERS (UEFA CUP)

<1.58> <3.47> <4.80>

my terrible european form continued, as liverpool failed to turn up in the first half, something i did not predict. in any case, i think the uefa cup will bring me some consolation hopefully. fiorentina managed a draw away at rangers, and with rangers having lost 3-2 to celtic at the weekend, they come into this a little down in spirits. in any case, fiorentina's squad is way better, and i think that this year, we will see a bayern - fiorentina final. so put your money down on a fiorentina win tonight.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on fiorentina @ 1.58 = $15.80

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

THE WEEKLY ROUNDUP

Well I'm doing this in advance because tomorrow morning I'll be leaving for Tioman. My EPL form hasn't been too good, Man City threw away a 2 goal lead for Fulham to score 3 in 20 minutes to seal a loss for my bet on Man City. Newcastle conceded twice early and mounted a comeback but could not construct anything in the second half to lose my bet on Newcastle. Great that Arsenal beat Derby convincingly, but I didn't profit much from that match. I think if I bet $1 on AOS for every match against Derby, chances are I'll be making a hefty sum by now. It has happened 6 times already: Liverpool 6-0, Arsenal 5-0, West Ham 5-0, Chelsea 6-1, Aston Villa 6-0, Arsenal 6-2. Out of a total of 35 games? That's brilliant. Maybe that can be a betting tactic for the promoted clubs next season, especially if they aren't up to standard in the EPL, perhaps because one of the lesser teams gets promoted due to playoffs. Man Utd won in the Champs League which I am elated over. As I told Eddy, the turning point of my tipping will be the Arsenal win over Derby, and hopefully next week I'll enjoy more success in the EPL.

As I will be away, I will place my bets for next week now, even before the odds for the matches are out. I'll be referring to a betting website's odds for now, hopefully Eddy helps to edit them to match the SGPools odds. - Roland

well, my champions league form has continued, with barca losing to united. however, i did say it was just a wild guess as it really could have gone either way. however, i'm relatively pleased with my s-league form, as i tipped balestier khalsa to make life difficult for home united. of course, as you already know now, they did MORE than that, sensationally overturning home 2-1. the weekend was so-so, but i was in the green for the epl bets, which is all-important. even though i didn't win most of the bets, the fulham victory at man city pulled my money stats up, as they were given generous 4.20 odds. that is the beauty of backing underdogs sometimes, as out of 10 bets, you just have to win 2/3 and you're already earning, given the juicier odds. so that's how i'll go, so please bear with me if you lose some here and there, cos rest assured you will get it back. villain of the week: GOMBAK UNITED. they should really go and die. i have backed them to the tune of $15 last week, and they have not delivered. bastards. but that can only mean they will win soon...right? :D - Eddy

CHELSEA v LIVERPOOL (UEFA CL)

<2.00> <2.85> <3.60>

well, my champions league form is SHIT. i admit it. sorry to anyone who has been following my european tips. would advise you to follow my s-league bets instead. anyway another match where the result could go both ways. wouldn't wanna pick a winner for this one, so i suggest trying one of the specials available to singapore pools. both teams are likely to come out slow in the first half, so i suggest picking a DRAW at half-time.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on DRAW for half-time 1x2 @ 1.95 = $9.75

This will be a great game. Liverpool need to score to progress. Chelsea are on top form. Everything points towards a great match. Expect Liverpool to go all out from the start of the game. Chelsea will find it hard pressed to get the ball to the likes of Malouda and Joe Cole when Liverpool clog up the midfield and press fully. I would totally stay away from this match as all 3 results are VERY possible depending on how the first half of the game goes. If anything, Liverpool +1.5 is a very safe option but you won't profit much. For now I'd go with a Liverpool win just for kicks.

- Roland's prediction: $5 on Liverpool @ 3.60 = $18.00

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

GAMBA OSAKA vs OMIYA ARDIJA (J-LEAGUE)

<1.50> <3.70> <5.30>

gamba osaka lost their last game to vissel kobe, rather surprisingly, as they had been on a good streak of results of late, and of course, their afc champions league campaign has been BRILLIANT, with their wins over melbourne victory (misnomer) particularly impressive. with a brazilian front pairing of lucas and bare, and a supplier in the form of yasuhito endo, their attack should be way too strong for the gutsy omiya. i think gamba will win here, but they won't have it too easy.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on gamba @ 1.50 = $7.50

MANCHESTER UNITED vs BARCELONA (UCL)

<1.83> <3.10> <3.85>

i predict that this match will be a fantastic game of football. it definitely will not be a 0-0 as ronaldo has PROMISED to score. the fucker scores like every other game so if he didn't score at the nou camp and stamford bridge, he's going through a drought, and he will end it tonight. however, i still do not think manu will win this one, as barcelona are a quality team. on the odds movement front, it's rather strange, as punters piled money on manu earlier in the day, to bring odds of 1.83 down to 1.70. barca's odds went from 3.85 to 4.00. however, somebody has obviously just piled his life savings on barcelona to bring the 4.00 back down to 3.70. strange movement, i don't know what to make of it. i feel that you should go for a barca win, as barcelona haven't scored for SOOO long, and they just have to win someday you feel? besides, teams that win the champions league tend to be doing shittily in the league. haha anw, this is just a guess, so don't bank on it.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on barcelona @ 3.85 = $19.25

This has been set up to be either the most boring or exciting game all season. 1) Either both teams will defend and play counterattacking football, or 2) Both teams will attack, attack and attack. I'm going with the latter. Drawing 0-0 at home and being 3rd in the league, Barcelona have to win OR have a scoring draw to progress in order to have a shot at getting a trophy this season. Manchester United need to win and cannot afford to have a scoring draw. Expect both teams to attack, and it will be a great spectacle. Yaya Toure is doubtful with an ankle injury, and he was instrumental in cutting out all the United counterattacks at the Nou Camp, so expect more holes in the Barca defence. With Puyol back, Barcelona have their first choice defender but he's over the hill and I expect him to concede lots of free kicks to Man Utd in dangerous positions. Over at the Man Utd side, Vidic and Rooney are doubtful, but keeping in mind how Ferdinand was initially doubtful for the Liverpool game which he captained in the end, I would wager both of them starting. Man Utd will line up offensively and it'll be a brilliant spectacle to watch, with the home advantage giving them the edge in a 2-1 win.

- Roland's prediction: $5 on Man Utd @ 1.83 = $9.15


YOKOHAMA F MARINOS vs JEF UNITED CHIBA (J-LEAGUE)

<1.50> <3.50> <4.70>

yokohama to win this one. quite simply, they are the better team, and they somehow lost their last game, so they should bounce back in this one. jef united chiba haven't won in ages, i think, but that's not because of bad luck or anything, it's cos 1) they suck 2) chiba sounds like something very offensive indeed in hokkien, but yet all they do is go on the defensive. they deserve to be bottom of the league. yokohama to pile on the misery.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on yokohama @ 1.50 = $7.50

GOMBAK UTD vs BALESTIER KHALSA (S-LEAGUE)

<1.60> <3.60> <4.40>

gombak haven't won in 4 games, drawing 3 and losing 1. however, it must be said that one of those draws was a fantastic 2-2 draw with saffc. balestier bettered that result one day later, though, sensationally overcoming home united 2-1 to outdo my prediction of them keeping the goals against low. however, i don't see balestier khalsa keeping this up, as their squad is still massively inexperienced, and keeper daniel ong looks very shaky when dealing with high balls. i think gombak will do enough to win this one, especially with gabriel obatola, who has struggled this season, scoring against saffc. that will do his confidence a world of good, and lift gombak to victory.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on gombak @ 1.60 = $8.00

Monday, April 28, 2008

KOREAN SUPER REDS vs DALIAN SHIDE (S-LEAGUE)

<1.30> <4.40> <7.50>

the super reds have been fantastic this season, and underlined their title ambitions with a 5-0 whipping of tampines rovers last week. they are at full strength here today, while dalian miss midfielder zhao honglue. seems to be a really easy super reds win here, and that's why i think i will go for it here. super reds win.

- Eddy's prediction: $10 on super reds @ 1.30 = $13.00

DERBY vs ARSENAL (EPL)

<11.00> <5.45> <1.17>

frankly, i'm really interested in taking derby AND a draw for this one, cos i feel derby can do it against an injury-hit arsenal. hleb is also suspended, while wenger has stated his intentions to blood his youngsters. expect the likes of fabianski and denilson to feature. however, what i feel will lead to an arsenal victory is the form of walcott, and as such, i think the best option here is to take derby +1.5. on the handicap front, this is worth 2.05 at spools. go for it.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on derby +1.5 @ 2.05 = $10.25

Arsenal, even without Hleb, Sagna and Flamini, will have too much firepower upfront for Derby. Van Persie has been regaining his sharpness and Fabregas will probably look to prove to the entire EPL why he deserves the PFA Young player award. Walcott is not a bad replacement for Hleb and has looked very good of late. Derby have nothing to play for and with a goal difference of -59, it's hard to see them taking anything from this match.
Go for Arsenal all the way.

- Roland's prediction: $10 on Arsenal @ 1.17 = $11.70
$5 on Arsenal -1.5 @ 1.60 = $8

Thursday, April 24, 2008

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR vs BOLTON WANDERERS (EPL)

<1.70> <3.30> <4.20>

tottenham have won only once in their last seven games. time for their luck to change no? they have been playing decently, without ever emulating the feats of their more illustrious north london neighbours of course, and should be getting better results than these. bolton will be up for this one, but sometimes, quality shines through. bolton also enjoyed a little luck last time out against middlesbrough, and well, time for it to run out! i say. bolton are a team i hate, and i'd love to see them go down, starting with this match. however, when betting, it's best to proceed with caution, as relegation candidates are capable of some strange results.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on tottenham @ 1.70 = $8.50

MANCHESTER CITY vs FULHAM (EPL)

<1.70> <3.30> <4.20>

A resurgent Manchester City plays a struggling Fulham who could not beat Liverpool's second string, or even force a draw. Against Pompey, Martin Petrov, Benjani and Vassell looked very dangerous and I see them piling on the misery over Fulham, who offer hardly anything upfront with the likes of Healy and McBride to trouble Man City. Man City have everything to play for as they look to secure a UEFA Cup place and will go all out to win this one.

- Roland's prediction: $5 on Man City @ 1.70 = $8.50

well, team news ahead of this match shows man city's defence in absolute tatters. micah richards and nedum onuoha are already missing, and now it seems richard dunne might join the list. man city beat pompey last week with a huge slice of luck and a numerical advantage when hermann hreidarsson was sent off. they looked far from convincing, so a wager on fulham or a draw might be worth considering. the only way they can avoid relegation is to get all 3 points here, but man city's strength in attack might limit them to a point. i say put $5 on both options, and then cross your fingers real tight. brian mcbride has the quality to punish a makeshift city defence, so going for fulham to record their second away win in 438 matches is worth a shot.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on draw @ 3.30 = $16.50
$5 on fulham @ 4.30 = $21.00

WEST HAM vs NEWCASTLE (EPL)

<2.35> <3.20> <2.55>

West Ham have been struggling to find goals as of late, while Newcastle look a rejuvenated side, getting 4 wins in the last 5 matches and scoring 11 goals. Newcastle will look to carry on their fine form and gun for a top half finish. West Ham haven't been at their best, and as long as they aren't playing against Man Utd, it's safe to bet against them.

- Roland's prediction: $5 on Newcastle @ 2.55 = $12.75

HOME UNITED vs BALESTIER KHALSA (S-LEAGUE)

<1.14> <6.00> <12.00>

i know i know. 12.00 is very tempting. however, i think it is highly unlikely that balestier khalsa will win this game. home united just have far too much quality. that being said, balestier khalsa have never been a side to crumple easily, and they showed that with a solid, if a little lucky 1-1 draw with the impressive korean super reds, who thumped tampines rovers 5-0 earlier this evening. as such, what i would recommend, is to back balestier khalsa on the handicap. as long as they do not lose by 3 or more, you'll win the bet, and i think this bet is rather safe. also, look out for the odds going up on this one.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on balestier khalsa +2.5 @ 1.95 = $9.75

CHELSEA vs MANCHESTER UNITED (EPL)

<2.35> <3.00> <2.70>

honestly, i think there are only two options here. a draw, or a man united win. chelsea will miss lampard, as his mother has unfortunately passed away. chelsea have to win to keep the pressure on united, and punters will bring out the history books, arguing that chelsea have not been beaten at home since 30 feb 1867, a remarkable run of 19872 games since they were last beaten by the gunners. regular readers should know what i'm like. i take pleasure (and money) from seeing teams' fantastic or bad runs come to an end. this is exactly what i'm tipping here. man utd to seal up the title in style on stamford bridge, with rooney playing a huge role in this one, despite looking very muted against barcelona, who should have shown more adventure to win my bet for me. ah well. i'll be a united fan for once on saturday, that's for sure!

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on united @ 2.70 = $13.50

Agree with Eddy. It'll be a draw or a Man Utd win, which is why I have money on Man Utd +0.25. The sad thing is that singaporepools doesn't offer the asian handicap, so I'm tipping a Man Utd win. Chelsea will be forced to attack as they can't afford to draw/lose. A draw would leave them 3 points behind with 2 games remaining, which means Man Utd only need to win 1 more game to secure the title because of the vastly superior goal difference. With that, Man Utd will look to counterattack with the likes of Rooney, Ronaldo, Anderson, Giggs and there's bound to be a goal in this game. Furthermore, Chelsea lose Lampard (who played really badly against Liverpool, probably because of his mom's situation) due to his mom's death, and it will limit their attacking options as the person to replace him would be either Mikel or Essien. While Vidic is out, Brown proved to be solid in the match against Barca and I expect a Utd win. (or a draw...)

- Roland's prediction: $5 on Man Utd @ 2.70 = $13.50

ALBIREX NIIGATA vs WOODLANDS (S-LEAGUE)

<2.55> <3.05> <2.45>

akihiro nakamura made the miss of the season thus far against geylang, costing his team a precious point last time out, as they went down 2-1. however, albirex is no geylang, and i fancy woodlands to win here. abdelhadi laakkad set the league on fire last season, but has struggled to recapture his form thus far. i expect him to go back to his goalscoring ways against a japanese side, who are not so physically inclined, and as such, might struggle against the big laakkad. park tae won's guile might also be a factor in this game.

- Eddy's prediction: $10 on woodlands @ 2.45 = $24.50
$5 on woodlands - 1.5 @ 4.20 = $21.00

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

FC BARCELONA vs MANCHESTER UNITED (UEFA CL)

<2.40> <3.00> <2.65>

barcelona come into this match without a win in their last two, despite doing well enough to win the matches. that's always a sign that a team will win the next, BUT and this is a big BUT (j.lo style), manu are not a team to bet against. however, messi returns for this match, and i feel his presence might lift the team. thierry henry will also be relieved to play against english opposition, having a shitty season in la liga. also, barca rested players at the weekend, making their side fresher for this one. it's obvious barca want to win this one, while united's comical draw with blackburn ensures manu have to cast one eye on this week's match with chelski. win for barca.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on barcelona @ 2.40 = $12.00

Monday, April 21, 2008

SENGKANG PUNGGOL vs GOMBAK UNITED(S-LEAGUE)

<4.40> <3.90> <1.55>

sengkang come into this in horrible form, having scored ONE goal all season, and obviously not picking up any wins yet. gombak, on the other hand, are used to loftier positions than their current third-from-bottom position. sengkang's lack of goal can be attributed to them lacking a true striker upfront, as mirko grabovac has failed the mandatory beep test, while chilean import ivan asenjo has been out injured thus far. for tomorrow's match, asenjo returns, but i am of the belief that it will be too little, against a gombak side, which will be eager to get back to winning ways. the odds for a gombak win started at 1.43 and have risen steadily, as punters predict a sengkang win, possibly tempted by the high odds. i say, go for the gombak win, as they have better overall quality, but don't go in too heavily, considering that noone has seen ivan asenjo play, and if he's even half-prolific in front of goal, sengkang might have a shot at this. edit: i changed my mind. gombak are too strong. should be an easy win. asenjo can't be a maradona or something can he? haha

- Eddy's prediction: $10 on gombak @ 1.55 = $15.50

THE WEEKLY ROUNDUP

well. we forgot to round up last week. haha. anyway, since then my fortunes have been pretty mixed. the massive 8.60 payout on geylang to overturn tampines was followed by a shocking run of form in my la liga picks last weekend, with all 4 of my picks losing. this week, my la liga form is 100%, with both villarreal and zaragoza grabbing crucial wins to get out of their poor run of form. unfortunately, tottenham, boro and birmingham couldn't win, making my arsenal pick the sole EPL win of the week. i had actually picked man city to beat portsmouth and placed $5 on it at singapore pools, but i wasn't too confident of it, and thus did not want to encourage readers to pick that result. my s-league form remains rock solid though, and to be honest, i'm a little surprised myself. i think the key is staying away from matches that do not have obvious winners, or have less than satisfactory odds. anyway, i'm looking forward to improving on my current average form, so look out for more reliable tips in the next week! - Eddy

Ok. Rule #1: Never bet when there's Bolton. Because we don't know which Bolton comes to play. Rule #2: Never bet on Spurs. Because they've been dominating matches yet not scoring. Also, try not to bet with Singapore Pools without the asian handicap, because I'm up $50 SGD in terms of online betting. Mostly from asian handicap. I've been really busy these few days so I couldn't post up my Aston Villa bet (which netted me a good $10+ profit in real $) on this blog. So there. Next week Eddy's going DOWN :D - Roland

Sunday, April 20, 2008

VILLARREAL vs VALLADOLID (LA LIGA)

<1.48> <3.60> <5.70>

villarreal go into this match on the back of two consecutive defeats to almeria and sevilla, and will be looking to bounce back. capdevila, their left back, returns from suspension, and should improve the chances of villarreal winning this one. home advantage also looks like a possible deciding factor here, with valladolid not the shittiest of relegation candidates, unbeaten in 3 games, and grabbing a credible 1-1 draw with atletico. villarreal to win this one.

- Eddy's prediction: $10 on villarreal @ 1.48 = $14.80

ASTON VILLA vs BIRMINGHAM (EPL)

<1.60> <3.35> <4.85>

birmingham currently sit in the relegation zone, and a draw or a win, would lift them out and give them a huge psychological boost heading into the final stretch of the relegation battle. bolton's unexpected and undeserved win has put much pressure on birmingham, and i believe that this pressure will push birmingham to fight harder in this match, and possibly pull off a shock to haul themselves out of trouble. mauro zarate's form is reminding me of christophe dugarry's when he joined birmingham a few seasons ago to rescue them. im tipping him to score, to record a win for birmingham. also, teams tend to falter a little after registering a huge win, and villa's 6-0 defeat of derby could lead to a little complacency here, in a highly crucial midlands derby.

- Eddy's prediction: $5 on birmingham @ 4.85 = $24.25